The US Should Ensure Freedom in Honduras
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The current president, Xiomara Castro, established formal ties with Beijing in 2023, and in the process jettisoned Honduras’ long-standing diplomatic support of Taiwan.
Press freedom is under attack in Honduras, and the pro-socialist military leadership wants a role in counting ballots. Personal freedoms are minimal, as the government suspended normal legal protections across most of the country in the name of fighting crime.
The electoral process in Honduras is marred with irregularities. During the last election, voters had to wait for long periods to receive their ballots. The military plans to ask for copies of the election tally sheets, which is beyond the scope of what the military should do. Castro supports this military role in elections.
The statement warned of “recent attacks originating from high-ranking military authorities, combined with a trend of judicial harassment, digital surveillance, and administrative pressure, create a hostile environment incompatible with international standards of press freedom.”
Two opposition parties offer a ray of hope. They both said it is possible they could recognize Taiwan, for example, which shows that they are on the democratic side of geopolitics. But they are competing with each other in a close three-way race in which a simple majority of voters on Nov. 30 will decide the presidency. There are no run-offs, so if the two parties split the non-socialist vote, which they appear likely to do, the race will probably go to the socialist candidate.
But public perception of the country’s security has not improved. Security experts in Honduras argue that the crime statistics are a result of shifting gang tactics rather than the eradication of the gangs themselves. As with many crime-fighting techniques, if you squeeze the water balloon in one place, it pops out somewhere else.
According to a recent report by the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED) monitoring and mapping organization, “armed violence linked to organized crime continued to thrive in Honduras’ rural departments, historically affected by a mix of land disputes and drug trafficking activities.”
Despite the many problems facing Honduras, the opposition made a strategic error in dividing themselves and the vote ahead of the presidential election. They ought to have combined forces to maximize their chances of delivering a resounding defeat to a socialist government that is far too friendly to adversarial countries like China and Venezuela. Nicaragua is already a police state aligned with China. The United States should not allow Honduras to go the same way.
The Trump administration is good at thinking outside the box. Now is the time for that type of creative approach to U.S. foreign policy in Honduras.


