Xi’s Rare Virtual Meeting With PLA Units Fan Speculation of Military Instability

Xi’s Rare Virtual Meeting With PLA Units Fan Speculation of Military Instability

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When Chinese leader Xi Jinping delivered his annual Lunar New Year speech to the armed forces via video link, analysts took note. It broke Xi’s customary practice of inspecting troops in person ahead of the country’s most important festival.

The move is the latest sign that Xi can’t trust the military’s leadership, or even fears it, China experts say, despite more than a decade of purges and power consolidation.

According to state media, Xi inspected the military’s combat readiness and mission execution via video link at the Bayi Building in central Beijing on Feb. 10.

Footage aired by state broadcaster CCTV on Feb. 11 showed three tables placed in the center of a spacious room, with Xi sitting at the middle table, facing a large screen. Flanking him were newly appointed Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Shengmin and Defense Minister Dong Jun.

Since coming to power in late 2012, Xi has used the Lunar New Year to inspect military units, shaking hands with officers and posing for photographs that are often republished by state-affiliated media outlets nationwide. Even amid the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, he inspected troops stationed in southwestern China.

The only exception was in 2023, when Xi remained in Beijing and relied entirely on videoconferencing to meet with military units. State media footage at the time showed Xi accompanied by six generals of the Central Military Commission, which commands the People’s Liberation Army (PLA).

Now, five of the six men at the country’s elite military body have effectively been removed.

The latest military chief to be purged was Zhang Youxia, the commission’s vice chair, who was placed under investigation in late January along with another commission member, Liu Zhenli.

“The purge of Zhang Youxia has likely sent shockwaves through the entire military,” China expert Wang He told The Epoch Times. “The instability within the military might be Xi Jinping’s greatest fear.”

Xi’s decision to avoid in-person troop visits may have been linked to his heightened fear and caution regarding unexpected events that could arise during face-to-face meetings with senior commanders, according to Wang.

“Xi is extremely suspicious and worried that uprisings or assassination attempts could happen to him anywhere,” said Wang, who is also a contributor to The Epoch Times. “So he adopts the ’turtle strategy'—staying hidden and not taking risks.”

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Zhang Youxia (front), then the newly-appointed vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, swears an oath with members of the Central Military Commission (L-R) Zhang Shengmin, Liu Zhenli, He Weidong, Li Shangfu, and Miao Hua, in Beijing on March 11, 2023. Greg Baker/Pool via Reuters
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Shen Ming-shih, a researcher at the Institute for National Defense and Security Research, a Taiwan-based think tank, echoed the sentiment.

“The downfall of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli will affect military morale, but Xi Jinping may also fear that visiting troops in person could expose him to risks, such as a coup or even assassination. This may explain why he switched to sending New Year greetings via video link,” Shen told The Epoch Times.

Aside from the ongoing political purges, Xi’s health may also have played a major role in avoiding in-person troop inspections, Wang said.

Now 72, Xi has faced persistent rumors and speculation about his health status in recent years, yet the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and state media have maintained their longstanding secrecy about top leaders’ personal matters.

‘Guarding Against the Military’

The CCP’s political system is known for its opacity, but the military is even more secretive, particularly amid a renewed purge of the defense establishment that has raised questions about the PLA’s combat readiness.
That was the case with Zhang, the country’s most senior general with longstanding family ties to Xi. The defense ministry’s Jan. 24 brief statement said Zhang was suspected of serious violations of the Party’s discipline and law. Since then, the authorities have provided little explanation for the downfall of the 76-year-old war veteran.
Over the past three years, at least one-fifth of the generals promoted by Xi during his nearly 14 years in power have been purged, according to The Epoch Times’ account of official announcements. More senior commanders have simply vanished from public view without any explanation.

The relentless political cleansing of the PLA leadership came as China heads for the twice-a-decade Party Congress in 2027, the country’s most important political event.

Shen, a Taiwanese expert on the PLA and China’s politics, said that by removing Zhang—who is second only to the CCP leader—Xi might have made up his mind to seek a fourth five-year term at next year’s Party congress, instead of appointing a successor.

That means the turmoil within the military’s upper ranks is likely to continue, according to Ai Shicheng, a former Chinese magazine editor.

“To secure another term, Xi must clear the field within the military,” removing any commanders deemed not fully loyal to him or posing future threats, Ai told The Epoch Times.

“Xi Jinping’s way of managing the PLA has shifted from controlling the military to guarding against the military.”

Luo Ya contributed to this report. 
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