China’s Pro-Russia Remark Aimed at Repairing Ties After Intelligence Breach: Insider
This statement, to EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, raised eyebrows internationally, as it departs from China’s long-standing claims of neutrality regarding the war.
Yuan Hongbing, a former professor of law at Peking University who now lives in exile in Australia, revealed that a recent intelligence breach had left Russian President Vladimir Putin furious with China’s communist leadership. According to Yuan, Wang’s statement served as an indirect apology, aimed at repairing trust and signaling continued support for the Kremlin.
Citing a high-level source within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Yuan told The Epoch Times that in May, a mid-level official from China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs defected to Russia following internal disputes with his superior. He took with him a cache of classified documents, including contingency plans drafted by Beijing in the event of a Russian defeat in Ukraine.
These leaked documents revealed Beijing’s lack of confidence in the stability of Putin’s regime. Chinese leaders had also expressed concern that a Russian defeat would allow the United States and European powers to quickly support pro-Western forces in Moscow, thereby reshaping the postwar political landscape.
The plans suggested that Beijing is considering two strategies regarding its relations with Russia, according to Yuan’s source.
The first plan involves backing the Communist Party of Russia to lead the country in a post-Putin era—an attempt to shape Russia’s future political landscape in line with the CCP’s ideological interests.
The second, more audacious scenario envisions a direct geopolitical play: if Western powers move decisively to dominate post-war Russia, China would support the creation of a breakaway “Eastern Russian Federation” east of the Ural Mountains.
The Ural Mountains run from north to south through western Russia, forming a natural boundary between the country’s European and Asian regions. To the west lies European Russia—including Moscow and other major political and economic centers—while to the east lies Siberia, a vast and resource-rich region with relatively sparse population and limited Western influence.
In this scenario, according to the leaked documents, the Chinese military would occupy parts of Siberia to secure strategic depth and energy resources, using this area as a staging ground in the event of a full invasion of Taiwan.
According to Yuan, Moscow responded swiftly and decisively. In mid-June, the Russian Foreign Ministry returned the defector and the classified documents to Beijing, accompanied by a stark diplomatic message: “Russia is a formidable power, and its status is safeguarded by its nuclear arsenal.”
Yuan said that Beijing’s support for Moscow is part of a broader strategy to prolong the conflict in Ukraine in order to weaken or even exhaust the United States. Simultaneously, this strategy would also help advance the CCP’s core objective—military unification with Taiwan.
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